Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.958318 2.245257 2.562132 2.938440 3.373706 3.862003 4.452264
2025-06-01 1.527530 1.913618 2.381367 2.991684 3.769889 4.732801 6.020552
2025-06-08 1.300480 1.729603 2.283177 3.053549 4.104185 5.495975 7.494392
2025-06-15 1.125727 1.571036 2.175363 3.061600 4.338645 6.128130 8.853711
2025-06-22 0.972921 1.414309 2.039675 2.998747 4.447643 6.578864 9.995719
2025-06-29 0.859908 1.296098 1.938228 2.963215 4.578847 7.061669 11.231842
2025-07-06 0.761692 1.185940 1.832363 2.902162 4.654593 7.457152 12.369187
2025-07-13 0.728188 1.170148 1.866542 3.060528 5.091790 8.470581 14.648102
2025-07-20 0.667868 1.103860 1.811750 3.064561 5.269708 9.070430 16.291045
2025-07-27 0.632394 1.073991 1.812049 3.159047 5.609834 9.983097 18.609923
2025-08-03 0.585734 1.019762 1.764676 3.163185 5.786657 10.620899 20.496481
2025-08-10 0.541208 0.964459 1.709221 3.145236 5.918074 11.185702 22.311209
2025-08-17 0.484730 0.886548 1.613566 3.057887 5.938860 11.603322 24.026983
2025-08-24 0.452076 0.849879 1.591209 3.111554 6.251246 12.656095 27.286115
2025-08-31 0.424610 0.819416 1.576175 3.176133 6.592198 13.812810 30.968154
2025-09-07 0.393907 0.778909 1.536512 3.184523 6.814989 14.749872 34.317383
2025-09-14 0.359103 0.726187 1.466229 3.118999 6.867146 15.318347 36.897089
2025-09-21 0.330938 0.683938 1.412513 3.081959 6.976791 16.030876 39.954317
2025-09-28 0.303426 0.640064 1.350468 3.018316 7.015616 16.582043 42.700780
2025-10-05 0.297525 0.641962 1.386861 3.183405 7.619883 18.587000 49.647511
2025-10-12 0.279378 0.614900 1.356357 3.187610 7.831198 19.645527 54.217208
2025-10-19 0.269587 0.605572 1.364706 3.286117 8.293559 21.419478 61.158101
2025-10-26 0.254102 0.581503 1.336393 3.290431 8.512614 22.582984 66.542271